Guide
Which jobs will AI replace?
No job disappears overnight: official projections show jobs where employment declines. Here are the 102 declining jobs, ranked by US jobs lost by 2035.
Key points
- Largest declines by 2035 in the United States: Cashier : −200,600 jobs (−6.5%); Office clerk : −156,200 jobs (−6%); Customer service rep : −141,800 jobs (−5.3%).
- 7 of the 10 fastest-declining jobs have high or very high AI exposure, according to the ILO or the BLS.
- A decline is not always caused by AI: when the source gives the cause (self-checkout, online shopping…), the page cites it.
- Each page suggests related jobs to move into.
The 102 declining jobs
N°01Cashier−6.5%jobs · USAAccording to the BLS, the decline comes from self-checkout and online shopping. It does not cite AI.Declining102 in totalN°02Office clerk−6%jobs · USAThe BLS partly attributes the decline of administrative jobs, including this one, to automation tools, AI among them.Declining102 in totalN°03Customer service rep−5.3%jobs · USAThe BLS partly attributes the decline of administrative jobs, including this one, to automation tools, AI among them.Declining102 in totalN°04Secretary−6%jobs · USAAI exposure: high according to the ILO, very high according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −6% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°05Bookkeeping clerk−5.6%jobs · USAAI exposure: very high according to the ILO, very high according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −5.6% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°06Bank teller−13.2%jobs · USAAccording to the BLS, the decline comes from branch closures, online banking and more capable ATMs. It does not cite AI.Declining102 in totalN°07Data entry clerk−25.5%jobs · USAThe BLS partly attributes the decline of administrative jobs, including this one, to automation tools, AI among them.Declining102 in totalN°08Kitchen helper−2%jobs · USAAI exposure: very low according to the ILO, low according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −2% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°09Prison officer−7.4%jobs · USAAI exposure: very low according to the ILO, moderate according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −7.4% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°10Hand packer−5%jobs · USAAI exposure: very low according to the ILO, low according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −5% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°11Farmer−3.4%jobs · USAAI exposure: very low according to the ILO, moderate according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −3.4% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°12IT support technician−3.5%jobs · USAAI exposure: moderate according to the ILO, very high according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −3.5% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°13Payroll clerk−15.9%jobs · USAAI exposure: very high according to the ILO, very high according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −15.9% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°14Store manager−2.5%jobs · USAAI exposure: moderate according to the ILO, high according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −2.5% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°15Insurance claims adjuster−5.5%jobs · USAAI exposure: moderate according to the ILO, very high according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −5.5% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°16Childcare worker−2%jobs · USAAI exposure: very low according to the ILO, moderate according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −2% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°17Debt collector−10.5%jobs · USAAI exposure: moderate according to the ILO, very high according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −10.5% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°18Survey interviewer−7.8%jobs · USAAI exposure: high according to the ILO, very high according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −7.8% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°19Receptionist−1.7%jobs · USAAI exposure: high according to the ILO, very high according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −1.7% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°20Typist−34.4%jobs · USAAccording to the ILO, typing, formatting and transcription are among the tasks most exposed to generative AI.Declining102 in totalN°21Network and systems administrator−4.1%jobs · USAAI exposure: high according to the ILO, very high according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −4.1% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°22Farm worker−2.4%jobs · USATotal employment is expected to fall by 5.2% in France between 2019 and 2030 (Métiers 2030) and by 2.4% in the United States by 2035 (BLS). The many hires mostly replace departures and cover seasonal work.Declining102 in totalN°23Telemarketer−21.4%jobs · USAThe BLS attributes the decline of sales jobs to e-commerce and AI tools.Declining102 in totalN°24Sewing machine operator−12.7%jobs · USAAI exposure: very low according to the ILO, low according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −12.7% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°25Printer−7.1%jobs · USAAI exposure: very low according to the ILO, moderate according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −7.1% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°26Filing clerk−15.7%jobs · USAAI exposure: moderate according to the ILO, very high according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −15.7% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°27Switchboard operator−26%jobs · USAThe BLS partly attributes the decline of administrative jobs, including this one, to automation tools, AI among them.Declining102 in totalN°28Legal secretary−5.3%jobs · USAAI exposure: high according to the ILO, very high according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −5.3% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°29Bookbinder−13.5%jobs · USAAI exposure: very low according to the ILO, low according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −13.5% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°30Water treatment or incinerator operator−5.7%jobs · USAAI exposure: very low according to the ILO, low according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −5.7% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°31Fish farmer−3.2%jobs · USAAI exposure: very low according to the ILO, moderate according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −3.2% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°32Finance and insurance clerk−5.7%jobs · USAAI exposure: very high according to the ILO, very high according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −5.7% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°33HR assistant−11%jobs · USAAI exposure: very high according to the ILO, very high according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −11% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°34Sewer and embroiderer−14.1%jobs · USAAI exposure: very low according to the ILO, low according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −14.1% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°35Metal finishing operator−7%jobs · USAAI exposure: very low according to the ILO, low according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −7% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°36Market trader−10.4%jobs · USAAI exposure: moderate according to the ILO, very high according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −10.4% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°37Plastics machine operator−1.1%jobs · USAAI exposure: very low according to the ILO, low according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −1.1% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°38Metal polisher and tool sharpener−11.7%jobs · USAAI exposure: very low according to the ILO, low according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −11.7% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°39Woodworking machine operator−5.5%jobs · USAAI exposure: very low according to the ILO, low according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −5.5% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°40Graphic designer−1.7%jobs · USAAccording to the BLS, automated design tools, including AI, reduce the need for graphic designers.Declining102 in totalN°41Laundry worker−15.6%jobs · USAAI exposure: very low according to the ILO, low according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −15.6% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°42Pre-press technician−15.4%jobs · USAAI exposure: moderate according to the ILO, high according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −15.4% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°43Metal processing operator−6.4%jobs · USAAI exposure: very low according to the ILO, low according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −6.4% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°44Foundry moulder−19.7%jobs · USAAI exposure: very low according to the ILO, low according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −19.7% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°45Metal fabricator−6.2%jobs · USAAI exposure: very low according to the ILO, low according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −6.2% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°46Tailor, dressmaker−8.8%jobs · USAAI exposure: very low according to the ILO, moderate according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −8.8% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°47Paper mill operator−5.1%jobs · USAAI exposure: low according to the ILO, low according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −5.1% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°48Journalist−5.9%jobs · USAAI exposure: high according to the ILO, very high according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −5.9% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°49Museum and library technician−1.4%jobs · USAAI exposure: moderate according to the ILO, high according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −1.4% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°50Mechanical drafter−6%jobs · USAAI exposure: low according to the ILO, high according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −6% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°51Florist−5.6%jobs · USAAI exposure: very low according to the ILO, moderate according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −5.6% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°52Cabinetmaker−2.9%jobs · USAAI exposure: very low according to the ILO, low according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −2.9% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°53Spinning machine operator−10.6%jobs · USAAI exposure: very low according to the ILO, low according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −10.6% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°54Wood processing operator−4.6%jobs · USAAI exposure: very low according to the ILO, low according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −4.6% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°55Telecoms and IT installer−2.5%jobs · USAAI exposure: very low according to the ILO, moderate according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −2.5% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°56Locksmith, metalworker−11.7%jobs · USAAI exposure: very low according to the ILO, low according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −11.7% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°57Dental technician−5.9%jobs · USAAI exposure: very low according to the ILO, low according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −5.9% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°58Radio and TV presenter−7.3%jobs · USAAI exposure: moderate according to the ILO, very high according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −7.3% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°59Childcare centre manager−3.2%jobs · USAAI exposure: low according to the ILO, high according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −3.2% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°60Blacksmith−13.4%jobs · USAAI exposure: very low according to the ILO, low according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −13.4% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°61Shoemaking machine operator−5.2%jobs · USAAI exposure: very low according to the ILO, low according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −5.2% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°62Library assistant−6.5%jobs · USAAI exposure: moderate according to the ILO, very high according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −6.5% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°63Paper products operator−1.7%jobs · USAAI exposure: very low according to the ILO, low according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −1.7% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°64Weaving and knitting operator−13.7%jobs · USAAI exposure: very low according to the ILO, moderate according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −13.7% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°65Refinery operator−1.3%jobs · USAAI exposure: very low according to the ILO, low according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −1.3% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°66Telecommunications technician−3.3%jobs · USAAI exposure: low according to the ILO, high according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −3.3% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°67Jeweller−2.4%jobs · USAAI exposure: very low according to the ILO, moderate according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −2.4% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°68Pattern maker and cutter−13.1%jobs · USAAI exposure: very low according to the ILO, moderate according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −13.1% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°69Tanner−13.5%jobs · USAAI exposure: very low according to the ILO, low according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −13.5% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°70Illustrator−2.9%jobs · USAAI exposure: very low according to the ILO, high according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −2.9% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°71Bicycle mechanic−5.7%jobs · USAAI exposure: very low according to the ILO, moderate according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −5.7% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°72Textile dyeing operator−12.3%jobs · USAAI exposure: very low according to the ILO, moderate according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −12.3% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°73Shoe repairer−6.5%jobs · USAAI exposure: very low according to the ILO, low according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −6.5% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°74Tax inspector−1%jobs · USAAI exposure: moderate according to the ILO, very high according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −1% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°75Textile and leather craftworker−13.7%jobs · USAAI exposure: very low according to the ILO, moderate according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −13.7% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°76Forestry worker−4.8%jobs · USAAI exposure: very low according to the ILO, low according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −4.8% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°77Sound designer−3.1%jobs · USAAI exposure: low according to the ILO, moderate according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −3.1% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°78Stonemason−5.4%jobs · USAAI exposure: very low according to the ILO, low according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −5.4% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°79Upholsterer−2.3%jobs · USAAI exposure: very low according to the ILO, low according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −2.3% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°80Leather preparation operator−13.5%jobs · USAAI exposure: very low according to the ILO, low according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −13.5% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°81Coastal fisher−4.3%jobs · USAAI exposure: very low according to the ILO, low according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −4.3% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°82Deep-sea fisher−4.3%jobs · USAAI exposure: very low according to the ILO, low according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −4.3% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°83Tobacco worker−3.5%jobs · USAAI exposure: very low according to the ILO, low according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −3.5% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°84Photographic products operator−5.7%jobs · USAAI exposure: very low according to the ILO, moderate according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −5.7% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°85Accounting technician−1.9%jobs · USAAI exposure: moderate according to the ILO, very high according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −1.9% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°86Metal production process controller−3%jobs · USAAI exposure: low according to the ILO, low according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −3% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°87Cement and concrete products operator−2.2%jobs · USAAI exposure: very low according to the ILO, low according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −2.2% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°88Wood treater−1%jobs · USAAI exposure: very low according to the ILO, low according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −1% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°89Model−2.4%jobs · USAAI exposure: very low according to the ILO, high according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −2.4% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°90Enquiry clerk−5.3%jobs · USAAI exposure: high according to the ILO, very high according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −5.3% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°91Production planning clerk−1.3%jobs · USAAI exposure: moderate according to the ILO, very high according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −1.3% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°92Street food vendor−2.3%jobs · USAAI exposure: very low according to the ILO, high according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −2.3% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°93Farm or forestry production manager−3.4%jobs · USAAI exposure: low according to the ILO, moderate according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −3.4% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°94Shop supervisor−1.6%jobs · USAAI exposure: low according to the ILO, high according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −1.6% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°95Mixed crop grower−3%jobs · USAAI exposure: very low according to the ILO, moderate according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −3% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°96Horticultural worker−2.4%jobs · USAAI exposure: very low according to the ILO, low according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −2.4% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°97Miner and quarry worker−1.5%jobs · USAAI exposure: very low according to the ILO, low according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −1.5% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°98Quarry labourer−2.5%jobs · USAAI exposure: very low according to the ILO, low according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −2.5% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°99Chemical plant operator−1.2%jobs · USAAI exposure: very low according to the ILO, moderate according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −1.2% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°100Chemical products machine operator−2.3%jobs · USAAI exposure: very low according to the ILO, low according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −2.3% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°101Social benefits officer−2.2%jobs · USAAI exposure: moderate according to the ILO, very high according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −2.2% (BLS).Declining102 in totalN°102Mechanical assembler−9.6%jobs · USAAI exposure: low according to the ILO, low according to the BLS. Employment change in the United States by 2035: −9.6% (BLS).Declining102 in total
Ranking: US jobs lost by 2035 (BLS projections). Method
Frequently asked questions
Which jobs will AI replace?
Official projections do not expect any job to disappear by 2035. The jobs losing the most positions are cashier, office clerk, customer service rep, secretary and bookkeeping clerk. 7 of the top 10 are highly exposed to AI, but other causes play a part too, such as self-checkout or online shopping.
Will my job disappear?
Search for your job on Job Arena: its page shows the employment outlook (BLS, 2035), its AI exposure and, if it is declining, related jobs to move into.
Where do these figures come from?
From public sources cited on every page: the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), the International Labour Organization (ILO) and French official statistics. They are rechecked every week.